Five Biggest Questions:
1. Is Dak Prescott a weekly fantasy starter?
2. Can Javonte Williams replicate or even build off of his 2025 career highs?
3. How far apart are CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens?
4. Is Ryan Flournoy draftable?
5. Will Jake Ferguson crack the top 10?
I had two very strong opinions about Dallas players' fantasy values last summer, which was discussed repeatedly on this blog and on my podcast. The first was that Dak Prescott was insanely undervalued. The second was that George Pickens was insanely undervalued.
Dak hadn't enjoyed this much WR talent in years, and Pickens had never had a QB as good as Dak. That combination would elevate both of them well beyond their ADPs.
This summer, they're still undervalued. Dak's ADP is QB10 (vs. QB9 last week), which not coincidentally almost matches his 2025 points-per-game rank. Pickens' ADP is a steady QB10, which also isn't coincidental. If we remove the games that CeeDee Lamb missed (including Week 3, when CeeDee got hurt after only seven offensive snaps), Pickens averaged 15.0 points per game, which would have ranked him . . . 10th. Funny how often that works.
Pickens proved last year that he could be just as productive as CeeDee, whose steady WR6 ADP seems reasonable. I like both finishing in the top 10 and Dak finishing in the top 7. Barring injuries, nothing realistically will slow down this trio.
The rest of the offense is more up in the air. Yes, Javonte Williams absolutely crushed it. Amazing to think his preseason ADP a year ago was RB36, while rookie Jaydon Blue (RB45) wasn't far behind. So what's the deal with Williams' WR16 ADP (vs. WR17 last week)? Operating as the bell cow over Blue (RB61 vs. RB65), Malik Davis (RB77 vs. RB80), and Phil Mafah (RB94 vs. RB96), shouldn't Williams be in the top 14? After all, he was last year's RB12 in points per game
Maybe the market is wary of going all in until we see if Blue looks better this summer. Or at least, that's what I'm doing. Williams is my RB16. If Blue flops in camp, I'll feel comfortable rolling the dice on another healthy season for Williams, culminating in top-14 numbers in a plus offense. If Blue shines, then things might get a little more complicated, as I'm not sure Dallas will give Williams another 275+ touches in a pass-happy offense (third most throws last season) if they also have a capable 1B.
Elsewhere, Ryan Flournoy flashed just enough to look appealing at his WR64 ADP (vs. WR65 last week). But turning 27 in October, the 2024 sixth-round pick does not profile as a long-term fantasy asset. Instead, he's in a pretty ideal short-term situation with minimal competition behind him. If CeeDee or Pickens misses time, Flournoy would enter streaming conversations. That alone makes him stash-worthy in very deep leagues.
Jake Ferguson (a steady TE13 ADP) also would benefit. When CeeDee was sidelined last year, Ferguson netted 18.6 points. He averaged only 8.4 in all other contests. That's a jarring split for an in-his-prime tight end who was targeted 12 times inside the opposing 10-yard line in 2023 and again in 2025 (including once per game with CeeDee out). Ferguson is a deceptively TD-dependent tight end, which helps explain why he's ranked outside the top 10.
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