Hits and Misses

My entire fantasy season might come down to what happens tomorrow. Maybe some of you can relate.

A win this week should lock up a playoff spot with one week remaining. Next week I'm facing my division's second-highest-scoring manager. My two best WRs -- Tetairoa McMillan (WR8) and Wan'Dale Robinson (WR11) -- will be on byes. So if I lose this week, I might be finished.

Four of my nine Week 13 starters will be playing tomorrow, along with three of my opponents' starters. What happens on Thanksgiving might determine whether I'm still competing in Week 15.

I share this as a reminder that I'm also a fantasy manager with big decisions to make, like whether I should start Andre Iosivas in my flex, or roll the dice on Marvin Harrison Jr's Sunday availability? Can trust David Montgomery as my RB2 and overlook his 7.9 points per game since Week 6?

I think back on my draft, when I took Harrison in the late third round and an opponent snagged James Cook with the next pick. Or two rounds later, when I took Montgomery and that same opponent got George Pickens. Would I be undefeated if I'd just made those two tweaks, pairing them with picks I *did* make like Gibbs, Lamar Jackson, McMillan (fourth round), Wan'Dale (10th), and the Rams DST (16th)?

The same can be said for free agency. Many of us have picked up guys who've turned out to be steals. We've also missed out on players who are now must-starts on opposing teams.

I wonder if part of the frustration with fantasy football is that we want to get things right, but the average manager gets things right only about 50% of the time. So with few exceptions, we fall short of our goals -- of what we believe is achievable.

With that in mind, I'm throwing it back to you: What's the best and "worst" move you've made this season, whether in your draft or through waivers or in a trade? If you're crushing it, surely something didn't go as planned. And if you're flailing, surely you can point to something that shows how good of a manager you are.

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* Today's FF4W podcast, episode 127: "Lamar Jackson’s Unprecedented Slump" -- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-for-winners/id1800490745