As many of you know, normally on Monday mornings I do my “Most Notable Fantasy Takeaways of Each Sunday Game” column. Starting this week, those are running Monday mornings on the Pro Football Network page: https://www.profootballnetwork.com/fantasy-football.../. I want to take a minute to present a few highlights, which hopefully will help us make sense of the fantasy landscape heading into Week 5. I also have some strong fantasy thoughts about last night’s game.
First, Chris Carson. He’s a higher-than-normal injury risk based on injury history, and this is a 17-game season. So we shouldn’t be shocked to see Alex Collins stepping up while Carson steps back. Highly frustrating for those who drafted Carson as an RB2 with some upside? Absolutely. And not much can be done about it. If you try to trade Carson, you’re not getting enough for him. If you try to acquire him, your opponent might want RB2 value. For now, I wouldn’t overreach for Collins. It’ll take another week or two to determine if he has stand-alone value, or if Sunday was situational.
Najee Harris is on pace for 111 receptions, which would place him just shy of Christian McCaffrey’s all-time record of 116. The funny thing is, it’s hard to imagine this trajectory changing. Harris is integral to an otherwise struggling offense.
If Teddy Bridgewater misses considerable time, the entire Denver offense could transform fantasy-wise. What impact will Drew Lock have on Courtland Sutton, Tim Patrick, Noah Fant, and an eventually the returning Jerry Jeudy? Obviously this will affect many of you, as most of these guys are highly rostered. I haven’t been sold on any Denver quarterback since Peyton Manning, though Bridgewater certainly stabilized this offense, and it’s hard to imagine Lock doing better.
I wrote a piece for PFN yesterday afternoon that warned readers about Josh Jacobs, despite his return to the starting lineup. It’s not that I trust Peyton Barber (never have) or believe in Kenyan Drake. It’s that Jacobs has been increasingly TD-dependent since his rookie campaign. On the plus side, he had five receptions, so maybe I’m off on this. But his relatively inefficient running last year and into this year has been concerning.
Is Kenneth Gainwell the next Darren Sproles? He caught an incredible 51 passes in his only full collegiate season. Despite a capped ceiling in a Jalen-Hurts-heavy offense, Gainwell clearly has weekly RB3 potential given his skillset and Miles Sanders’ diminished role.
Finally, before last night, Mike Williams was on pace to break Davante Adams’ record for most WR fantasy points per game in a season. This summer his WR ADP was 50. Yes, 50. He is both the “real deal” and also “really overvalued.”
First, Chris Carson. He’s a higher-than-normal injury risk based on injury history, and this is a 17-game season. So we shouldn’t be shocked to see Alex Collins stepping up while Carson steps back. Highly frustrating for those who drafted Carson as an RB2 with some upside? Absolutely. And not much can be done about it. If you try to trade Carson, you’re not getting enough for him. If you try to acquire him, your opponent might want RB2 value. For now, I wouldn’t overreach for Collins. It’ll take another week or two to determine if he has stand-alone value, or if Sunday was situational.
Najee Harris is on pace for 111 receptions, which would place him just shy of Christian McCaffrey’s all-time record of 116. The funny thing is, it’s hard to imagine this trajectory changing. Harris is integral to an otherwise struggling offense.
If Teddy Bridgewater misses considerable time, the entire Denver offense could transform fantasy-wise. What impact will Drew Lock have on Courtland Sutton, Tim Patrick, Noah Fant, and an eventually the returning Jerry Jeudy? Obviously this will affect many of you, as most of these guys are highly rostered. I haven’t been sold on any Denver quarterback since Peyton Manning, though Bridgewater certainly stabilized this offense, and it’s hard to imagine Lock doing better.
I wrote a piece for PFN yesterday afternoon that warned readers about Josh Jacobs, despite his return to the starting lineup. It’s not that I trust Peyton Barber (never have) or believe in Kenyan Drake. It’s that Jacobs has been increasingly TD-dependent since his rookie campaign. On the plus side, he had five receptions, so maybe I’m off on this. But his relatively inefficient running last year and into this year has been concerning.
Is Kenneth Gainwell the next Darren Sproles? He caught an incredible 51 passes in his only full collegiate season. Despite a capped ceiling in a Jalen-Hurts-heavy offense, Gainwell clearly has weekly RB3 potential given his skillset and Miles Sanders’ diminished role.
Finally, before last night, Mike Williams was on pace to break Davante Adams’ record for most WR fantasy points per game in a season. This summer his WR ADP was 50. Yes, 50. He is both the “real deal” and also “really overvalued.”