Aaron Jones is very good on September 20th at home against Detroit. Yesterday he racked up 41.5 fantasy points. A year ago yesterday he collected 45.6 fantasy points. He hasn't scored in any of his other five career games against the Lions. It must be his way of celebrating the official end of summer.
Anyway, there was never a doubt Green Bay would rebound from their abysmal Week 1 performance in New Orleans. The question was whether anyone except Jones and Davante Adams (and of course Aaron Rodgers) would be fantasy relevant. I urged readers to start Robert Tonyan as an underrated top-10 TE. But I also urged folks to start A.J. Dillon as a likely double-digit scorer, believing he would take over in the fourth quarter of a blowout. Just as this scenario didn't quite play out as expected for Cleveland on Sunday against Houston, it failed to materialize last night in Green Bay. Three of Jones's scores came inside the 4-yard line. Dillon got three looks on the second-to-last drive, and not much else. I remain bullish, but clearly Jones reasserted his dominance after a 4-point season opener.
Can any other Packer wideout step up? The last time two Green Bay WRs had 700+ receiving yards was in 2016, back in the Jordy Nelson era. The offseason signing of Randall Cobb weakens Marquez Valdes-Scantling's and Allen Lazard's dart-throw appeal. It's easy to forget MVS led this squad in targets Week 1. For now, it's safe to assume Rodgers, Jones, Adams, and Tonyan will account for about 95% of the team's fantasy production.
For Detroit, remember when Jared Goff was a near-universal preseason back-end QB3? It's as ridiculous now as it was then. While the Lions have a severely undermanned receiving corps, Goff has plenty going for him: T.J. Hockenson, D'Andre Swift, and a game script that will force the much-maligned QB to throw deep into games. He's on pace for 791 pass attempts. It's easy to be a streaming starter with that kind of usage.
And just as with the Packers, I'm curious to see whether a true #1 wideout will materialize for Detroit. 2020 5th-rounder Quintez Cephus has a healthy 13 targets and two scores so far and is worth rostering in many leagues. Aside from rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown, there's no obvious obstacle to Cephus amassing WR5+ numbers. True, Tyrell Williams was out. But can we really expect Williams to be the #1? I don't see it.
Finally, I've said this before and will say it again: Jamaal Williams is overvalued. His Week 1 outburst was a fluke. I don't see him as fantasy startable most weeks. Averaging a fairly pedestrian 4.0 YPC for Green Bay doesn't set one up to shine as a split back (at best) in Detroit.
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Anyway, there was never a doubt Green Bay would rebound from their abysmal Week 1 performance in New Orleans. The question was whether anyone except Jones and Davante Adams (and of course Aaron Rodgers) would be fantasy relevant. I urged readers to start Robert Tonyan as an underrated top-10 TE. But I also urged folks to start A.J. Dillon as a likely double-digit scorer, believing he would take over in the fourth quarter of a blowout. Just as this scenario didn't quite play out as expected for Cleveland on Sunday against Houston, it failed to materialize last night in Green Bay. Three of Jones's scores came inside the 4-yard line. Dillon got three looks on the second-to-last drive, and not much else. I remain bullish, but clearly Jones reasserted his dominance after a 4-point season opener.
Can any other Packer wideout step up? The last time two Green Bay WRs had 700+ receiving yards was in 2016, back in the Jordy Nelson era. The offseason signing of Randall Cobb weakens Marquez Valdes-Scantling's and Allen Lazard's dart-throw appeal. It's easy to forget MVS led this squad in targets Week 1. For now, it's safe to assume Rodgers, Jones, Adams, and Tonyan will account for about 95% of the team's fantasy production.
For Detroit, remember when Jared Goff was a near-universal preseason back-end QB3? It's as ridiculous now as it was then. While the Lions have a severely undermanned receiving corps, Goff has plenty going for him: T.J. Hockenson, D'Andre Swift, and a game script that will force the much-maligned QB to throw deep into games. He's on pace for 791 pass attempts. It's easy to be a streaming starter with that kind of usage.
And just as with the Packers, I'm curious to see whether a true #1 wideout will materialize for Detroit. 2020 5th-rounder Quintez Cephus has a healthy 13 targets and two scores so far and is worth rostering in many leagues. Aside from rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown, there's no obvious obstacle to Cephus amassing WR5+ numbers. True, Tyrell Williams was out. But can we really expect Williams to be the #1? I don't see it.
Finally, I've said this before and will say it again: Jamaal Williams is overvalued. His Week 1 outburst was a fluke. I don't see him as fantasy startable most weeks. Averaging a fairly pedestrian 4.0 YPC for Green Bay doesn't set one up to shine as a split back (at best) in Detroit.
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Personalized Fantasy Advice Sign-up: www.fantasyfootballforwinners.com/p/personalized-fantasy-advice.html
Follow on Twitter: @_FF4W