Five Biggest Questions
1. Is Zach Wilson a QB2?
2. Will Michael Carter become a weekly fantasy starter?
3. Will Tevin Coleman be fantasy-relevant?
4. Can Elijah Moore become the team's #1 WR?
5. Can former first-rounder Corey Davis build off of his 2020 career year?
The Jets are a fun team not to watch. And I say that lovingly as a former longtime New Yorker. The franchise and its fans are aching for relevance after a decade-long postseason drought and only one winning season: the impressive 2015 campaign featuring the final great seasons for Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker, and Darrelle Revis. Their hopes in 2021 rest largely on rookie QB Zach Wilson, whose QB-30 ADP assumes he won't start some games. Let's face it: Wilson will play every snap if he's able. The Jets didn't use the #2 overall pick on a guy who needs to learn on the sidelines. Wilson will get every opportunity to learn on the field, and that's what you want in a fantasy rookie. While the top 20 will be tough in a league filled with capable QB2s, Wilson is a solid dynasty add on the assumption New York continues building the offense around him.
Tevin Coleman's career started falling apart when he left Atlanta in 2019 for a seemingly modest two-year, $10 million contract in San Francisco. It turned out to be quite generous, as Coleman missed 10 games and ran only half-decently, mostly as a backup. He's now a placeholder for rookie Michael Carter (RB-32 ADP). Coleman's RB-51 ADP makes him look like a nothing-to-lose flyer, and he probably is. But of course, Carter is the upside play. Still, I'd be cautious about drafting Carter at his price until we see how he fares in August. He's never been a bellcow (Coleman has on occasion) and is only a so-so bet to claim 15+ touches per game during the season.
The Jets needed better receiver weapons this offseason, so they signed the hit-or-miss Corey Davis (WR-54) and drafted Elijah Moore (WR-57) in round 2. Grouped with Jamison Crowder (WR-63) and Denzel Mims (WR-75), this has the makings of a promising unit. Zach Wilson's rookie-year upside hinges on whether his wideouts play as well as we know they can. Crowder and Davis have both served as #1 receivers on other teams, and Moore is a sure-fire impact player, even if it doesn't translate to early-career fantasy success. And Mims and Keelan Cole (WR-125) have flashed when given opportunities. So the big question is whether Crowder, Davis, Mims, or Moore rises to unquestionable #1 status. Crowder is at risk of getting boxed out by Moore. If he starts, Moore could lead the team in targets. Davis probably has the most boom to go with some expected bust. Right now it's too early to know how this will shake out, but Moore is my favorite based on talent and potential usage.
Since his solid rookie campaign, Chris Herndon (TE-34) has been a certifiable bust. There's buzz he could be replaced atop the depth chart. Candidly, it probably doesn't matter who wins this job unless this offense is more prolific than any Jets offense has been in years. But Herndon is the only one with streaming upside.