What do we think of the Niners' backfield? Last summer Raheem Mostert's RB ADP was somewhere (if my memory's correct) in the 200's. He was arguably one of the biggest RB surprises in decades last year and now owns an RB-28 ADP. Why so low? Because of his limited passing-game usage, and the fact that San Francisco's RB corps once again is stacked.
Mostert's upside hinges entirely on his ability to stave off Tevin Coleman (RB-41) and Jerick McKinnon (RB-62). I actually don't think Mostert (5.6 YPC) can sustain that level of play this season. The 49ers have one of the league's toughest schedules based on last year's won-loss records. And his 10 touchdowns on 151 touches border on sustainable.
We know Coleman has a track record of success, and last season's career-low YPC seems like an outlier. The Athletic's Matt Barrows remarked yesterday that head coach Kyle Shanahan could give the early starting nod to the veteran. Of course, all this is speculation at this point. But Mostert appears to be the biggest risk, as he's unlikely to garner more than 200 touches--and that assumes McKinnon gets hurt again.
McKinnon: talk about bad luck. Two summers ago he was coming off back-to-back 200-touch seasons, and although his ADP had dropped dramatically compared to earlier in his career, his passing-game usage and anticipated role on the Niners made him a trendy breakout candidate. If--and it's a big "if"--McKinnon remains healthy by Week 1, what's stopping him from carving out a Duke Johnson-like role? In PPR, he has to be the value play in this trio, despite the obvious risks.
Are any of you high on Mostert? If so, what are you seeing that I don't? As last year's 26th best fantasy RB, can he improve?
Mostert's upside hinges entirely on his ability to stave off Tevin Coleman (RB-41) and Jerick McKinnon (RB-62). I actually don't think Mostert (5.6 YPC) can sustain that level of play this season. The 49ers have one of the league's toughest schedules based on last year's won-loss records. And his 10 touchdowns on 151 touches border on sustainable.
We know Coleman has a track record of success, and last season's career-low YPC seems like an outlier. The Athletic's Matt Barrows remarked yesterday that head coach Kyle Shanahan could give the early starting nod to the veteran. Of course, all this is speculation at this point. But Mostert appears to be the biggest risk, as he's unlikely to garner more than 200 touches--and that assumes McKinnon gets hurt again.
McKinnon: talk about bad luck. Two summers ago he was coming off back-to-back 200-touch seasons, and although his ADP had dropped dramatically compared to earlier in his career, his passing-game usage and anticipated role on the Niners made him a trendy breakout candidate. If--and it's a big "if"--McKinnon remains healthy by Week 1, what's stopping him from carving out a Duke Johnson-like role? In PPR, he has to be the value play in this trio, despite the obvious risks.
Are any of you high on Mostert? If so, what are you seeing that I don't? As last year's 26th best fantasy RB, can he improve?