Five Biggest Questions
1. Is Josh Allen a top-6?
2. Will Devin Singletary be an RB2+?
3. Is Stefon Diggs a WR2+?
4. Will John Brown or Cole Beasley be draftable in shallow leagues?
5. Can Dawson Knox be streaming starter?
If Buffalo hadn't imploded in the first round of the playoffs against Houston, then we never would have witnessed Houston's even bigger implosion the following week in Kansas City. And the Titans might have won the Super Bowl. (Or maybe not; let's have it out in the comments below.)
2019 was the Bills' best season in 20 years. Are they an ascending franchise, or have they peaked (for now)? Much will depend on the retooled Jets and Dolphins, against which Buffalo went 3-1. And of course, some of it depends on whether New England still has the firepower to maintain AFC East dominance. Still, the Bills now have enough key pieces to be dangerous, and fantasy-wise they finally have a receiver worth talking about. For now, the offense still runs through Josh Allen, last year's sixth-highest-scoring fantasy QB. It's hard to argue with his QB-7 ADP, and any improvements to his middling passing game could push him higher.
At RB, Devin Singletary (RB-23) has a nice back-end RB2 floor with room to grow in an offense that should lean on him a bit more than last year's 15 touches per game. Rookie Zack Moss (RB-47) brings talent and health concerns. In other words, he'll be a handcuff steal at his price, though stand-alone value is suspect as the #3 runner behind Singletary and Allen. And as a side note, I still have a soft spot for T.J. Yeldon (RB-240) as an NFL-capable RB, but these days I'm probably alone on that.
Four days before Tom Brady signed with the Bucs, the Bills traded for Stefon Diggs. It could take all year (or possibly all of 2021) before we understand how these significant moves impact the division. But for now, Buffalo finally has a solid receiving corps. For four of the previous five seasons, they endured a bottom-5 passing attack--and last year they were in the bottom 10. Diggs (WR-27) is a good bet for 70/1,000/7 and has strong upside as his team's clear-cut #1. Keep in mind, John Brown posted a 72/1,060/6 line last season to finish 20th in WR scoring. Meanwhile, John Brown (WR-52) and Cole Beasley (WR-71) will both make a play for #2 honors, and each is a great bet to exceed expectations. Again, Allen has nowhere to go but up as a passer, so don't view this receiving unit in 2019 terms. All three guys are undervalued.
Diggs, Brown, and Beasley are helped by the fact that Buffalo's TEs are tertiary options. Dawson Knox is another in a long line of undraftable Bill tight ends. While I have little doubt he'll be better than his TE-28 ADP, his realistic ceiling is around TE-16. If not for Diggs' signing, Knox would have been a contender for back-end TE1 production. So keep him on your super-deep-league dynasty roster just in case.