Five Biggest Questions
1. Will Carson Wentz be a QB1?
2. Is Miles Sanders a top-10 RB?
3. Which WR will lead this corps?
4. Can Alshon Jeffery still be a solid fantasy contributor
5. Will Dallas Goedert take another step forward?
In his first 16-game season since his pretty rough 2016 rookie campaign, Carson Wentz delivered capable, back-end QB1 numbers. His season was salvaged in December against some weak defenses. Heading into that final month, he'd posted five straight weeks of 15 or fewer fantasy points. While he still has enough weapons to be a QB1, I wouldn't be excited drafting Wentz, even at his QB-12 ADP. While his TD/INT ratio these past three seasons are Tom Brady-like (and actually a little better), his ceiling isn't high enough to make him worth the reach.
At RB, it's now Miles Sanders' backfield, and he won't have to contend with Jordan Howard's 11.1 points per game. Expect Sanders (RB-11) to hit double-digit touchdowns and exceed his 1,327 total yards from last season. In other words, I'd love to get Sanders in the second round; he's in my top 8 at his position. Boston Scott (RB-50) could carve out an RB4/5 role if he picks up where he left off late last year; he's a solid flyer at his price, especially with little talent behind him.
The wideout situation is worrisome, and is one reason why I won't go big on Wentz. Jalen Reagor (WR-50) is yet another rookie receiver with a good shot at leading his team in receptions and yards. Given the possibility Alshon Jeffery (WR-63) will miss the first six games, and given DeSean Jackson's (WR-62) recent foray into anti-Semitic messaging, this is a troublesome trio for three very, very different reasons. Of course Reagor seems like the best bet, but assuming DJax has weathered this storm and starts Week 1 (as expected), both will outperform expectations if Jeffery misses time. Their ADPs reflect the hedging that goes into predicting the chronically injured Jeffery's status.
Outside of Sanders, the only ultra-safe play in this offense is (no surprise) Zach Ertz, who now finds himself at #4 among all TEs. His upside is a bit capped by a seemingly ascending Dallas Goedert (TE-16), who a couple years ago replaced another seemingly ascendant TE, the now-largely-forgotten Trey Burton. But unlike Burton, Goedert is positioned to be a weekly must-start option if Ertz gets hurt, and is possibly the best TE2 Best Ball pick. Faced with an unreliable WR corps, don't be surprised if Goedert sneaks into the top 10. In very deep leagues, where holding two TEs isn't insane, Goedert is an obvious must-draft "handcuff" if you grab Ertz.