OK folks. We're almost to the first finish line. Have enjoyed watching the FF4W Premier Fantasy Football League drafts these past few nights: 14-team leagues structured like English football's "Premier League." The best teams after each season move up, and the worst teams move down. We've got 84 competitors in Year 2, with the potential to expand it next year. Stay tuned.
And if you'd like to compete in the inaugural FF4W Challenge, check out Monday's column for instructions. Free to enter, and nothing to do after submitting your preseason lineup.
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Quickly rolling through two final preseason contrarian predictions. On the upside, Trey Quinn owns a WR-92 ADP and a 279 overall ADP. In other words, virtually no one's drafting him. Even before Josh Doctson was released, Quinn was a decent bet for #1 receiver honors in Washington. With Jordan Reed perpetually questionable and Paul Richardson the only other "significant" early-season WR competition for targets, Quinn is being overlooked, plain and simple.
The final pick in last year's draft, Quinn is quick with great hands (lowest college drop rate among all receivers entering the league last year). Yet somehow is ADP is unchanged in the past month. Yet somehow 132 of 136 experts (97%) are ranking him outside the top 50. And even 58% don't think he'll crack the top 70. Regardless of how spotty the Redskins' QB situation is, Quinn won't be Mr. Irrelevant for a second time. He'll be a top-50 WR.
On the flip side, Lamar Jackson is a popular sleeper in draft rooms. QB-14 ADP suggests his impressive rookie campaign was only the beginning. I'm not there yet. In a 2019 season packed with highly capable quarterbacks, Jackson needs more than skill to come close to meeting expectations. His receivers are sub-par. His backfield is crowded. And he still hasn't proven he can consistently throw the ball downfield. Will he take a step forward, will he be exposed, or will he fall somewhere in between?
I think somewhere in between is realistic. Jackson offers solid streaming potential, but he's not a QB you can rely on in even 14-team leagues. 125 of 138 experts (91%) place him in the top 18. I believe he won't finish that high, thanks in part to 2018 underachievers like Matthew Stafford (20th best 2018 QB), Jameis Winston (22nd), and Carson Wentz (23rd) pushing middling NFL starters like Jackson into unrosterable territory.
FF4W is entirely transparent. Every past column is searchable on this blog as well as on the companion FF4W webpage. So if you're interested in tracking these predictions throughout the season--or reviewing past years' preseason prediction results--you can find everything on this page:
http://www.fantasyfootballforwinners.com/p/bold-predictions.html
Tomorrow we'll dive into tomorrow night's opening contest: the first of 115 days of every-day-matters fantasy insanity.
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Sign up for Pre-Draft Top 300 Rankings: http://www.fantasyfootballforwinners.com/
Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/_FF4W
And if you'd like to compete in the inaugural FF4W Challenge, check out Monday's column for instructions. Free to enter, and nothing to do after submitting your preseason lineup.
---
Quickly rolling through two final preseason contrarian predictions. On the upside, Trey Quinn owns a WR-92 ADP and a 279 overall ADP. In other words, virtually no one's drafting him. Even before Josh Doctson was released, Quinn was a decent bet for #1 receiver honors in Washington. With Jordan Reed perpetually questionable and Paul Richardson the only other "significant" early-season WR competition for targets, Quinn is being overlooked, plain and simple.
The final pick in last year's draft, Quinn is quick with great hands (lowest college drop rate among all receivers entering the league last year). Yet somehow is ADP is unchanged in the past month. Yet somehow 132 of 136 experts (97%) are ranking him outside the top 50. And even 58% don't think he'll crack the top 70. Regardless of how spotty the Redskins' QB situation is, Quinn won't be Mr. Irrelevant for a second time. He'll be a top-50 WR.
On the flip side, Lamar Jackson is a popular sleeper in draft rooms. QB-14 ADP suggests his impressive rookie campaign was only the beginning. I'm not there yet. In a 2019 season packed with highly capable quarterbacks, Jackson needs more than skill to come close to meeting expectations. His receivers are sub-par. His backfield is crowded. And he still hasn't proven he can consistently throw the ball downfield. Will he take a step forward, will he be exposed, or will he fall somewhere in between?
I think somewhere in between is realistic. Jackson offers solid streaming potential, but he's not a QB you can rely on in even 14-team leagues. 125 of 138 experts (91%) place him in the top 18. I believe he won't finish that high, thanks in part to 2018 underachievers like Matthew Stafford (20th best 2018 QB), Jameis Winston (22nd), and Carson Wentz (23rd) pushing middling NFL starters like Jackson into unrosterable territory.
FF4W is entirely transparent. Every past column is searchable on this blog as well as on the companion FF4W webpage. So if you're interested in tracking these predictions throughout the season--or reviewing past years' preseason prediction results--you can find everything on this page:
http://www.fantasyfootballforwinners.com/p/bold-predictions.html
Tomorrow we'll dive into tomorrow night's opening contest: the first of 115 days of every-day-matters fantasy insanity.
---
Sign up for Pre-Draft Top 300 Rankings: http://www.fantasyfootballforwinners.com/
Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/_FF4W