We field more questions Sunday morning than any other time. Last Sunday you all asked 58 questions. Many were 50-50 calls. Some were much tougher 33-67 or 25-75 or 20-80 calls ("pick 1-of-3 / 1-of-4 / 1-of-5"). Overall we hit on 31 one of them. This included dramatically difficult calls like suggesting Mike Williams for reader Marty Ventrella's "pick 1" request between Williams, Keke Coutee, Danny Amendola, Dante Pettis, and Alex Collins.
As I say many times, but which bears repeating regularly, FF4W doesn't claim to be right all the time. We can't. No one can, and no one I know has ever comes close. We aim to give readers a competitive edge: more accurate, more often than the competition.
Looking forward to offering more advice this morning and throughout the rest of the season. In the meantime, here's today's DFS 50-50 Lineup of the Week. I'm hampered by not knowing some things, like whether Keke Coutee will play, the extent to which Devin Funchess will be on a snap count, whether Gus Edwards and Marlon Mack (both questionable) will handle full workloads, and so on. So the following 50-50 is based on what's known at 9:00am Eastern.
QB Patrick Mahomes ($9,500) -- I swapped out Russell Wilson ($1,800 cheaper) this morning on the assumption Mahomes is almost guaranteed to throw three TDs against the Raiders' bottom-5 pass defense. As you'll see, I'm taking a sizable risk putting a lot of eggs in the Chiefs basket. But it's more likely than not to pay off.
RB Christian McCaffrey ($8,800) -- With no backup RB competing for touches, and with no receiver except D.J. Moore stepping up in the passing game, CMC is a clear focal point of an offense historically dominated by Cam Newton. Of course, Cam remains near-elite. But CMC has one of the is highest floors and ceilings of any running back.
RB Aaron Jones ($7,600) -- Still a bargain despite his rising price tag.
WR Tyreek Hill ($8,400) -- Fantasy's #2 wideout (one point behind Adam Thielen), Hill doesn't have to contend with an injured Sammy Watkins or customary bellcow Kareem Hunt. Hill should end the week as the clear-cut overall #1 WR heading into Week 14.
WR Chris Conley ($4,500) -- A hedge at a basement price. If Hill some falters, spot starter Conley will likely step up. At worst he's a 6-8 point option whose primary role is to free up my budget for higher-priced options.
WR D.J. Moore ($6,400) -- Even with Funchess returning, I like Moore against Tampa Bay in a must-win (and winnable) game for Carolina. Moore should be the Panthers' #1 wideout the rest of the way, even when Funchess is fully healthy.
TE Gerald Everett ($4,800) -- A solid boom-bust guy at this price.
RB Spencer Ware ($5,200) -- Of course. My 16th hyping of Kansas City's former backup RB this year. And it comes at an ideal time, with the opposing Raiders yielding a league-high 151.4 rushing yards per contest on 4.9 yards per carry. For those with short memories, Ware was fantasy's 17th highest scoring RB in 2016 despite playing only 14 games. He's also capable in the passing game. I can see a scenario where he scores twice on 150 total yards. Betting between that and a 70-yard scoreless day, I'd be on the first option.
DST Seahawks ($4,600) -- Nick Mullens shouldn't have earned another start. He won't finish the game. Simply put, Seattle's D will dominate the Niners. Earlier this week I predicted 20+ fantasy points. Sticking to it.
Good luck today.
As I say many times, but which bears repeating regularly, FF4W doesn't claim to be right all the time. We can't. No one can, and no one I know has ever comes close. We aim to give readers a competitive edge: more accurate, more often than the competition.
Looking forward to offering more advice this morning and throughout the rest of the season. In the meantime, here's today's DFS 50-50 Lineup of the Week. I'm hampered by not knowing some things, like whether Keke Coutee will play, the extent to which Devin Funchess will be on a snap count, whether Gus Edwards and Marlon Mack (both questionable) will handle full workloads, and so on. So the following 50-50 is based on what's known at 9:00am Eastern.
QB Patrick Mahomes ($9,500) -- I swapped out Russell Wilson ($1,800 cheaper) this morning on the assumption Mahomes is almost guaranteed to throw three TDs against the Raiders' bottom-5 pass defense. As you'll see, I'm taking a sizable risk putting a lot of eggs in the Chiefs basket. But it's more likely than not to pay off.
RB Christian McCaffrey ($8,800) -- With no backup RB competing for touches, and with no receiver except D.J. Moore stepping up in the passing game, CMC is a clear focal point of an offense historically dominated by Cam Newton. Of course, Cam remains near-elite. But CMC has one of the is highest floors and ceilings of any running back.
RB Aaron Jones ($7,600) -- Still a bargain despite his rising price tag.
WR Tyreek Hill ($8,400) -- Fantasy's #2 wideout (one point behind Adam Thielen), Hill doesn't have to contend with an injured Sammy Watkins or customary bellcow Kareem Hunt. Hill should end the week as the clear-cut overall #1 WR heading into Week 14.
WR Chris Conley ($4,500) -- A hedge at a basement price. If Hill some falters, spot starter Conley will likely step up. At worst he's a 6-8 point option whose primary role is to free up my budget for higher-priced options.
WR D.J. Moore ($6,400) -- Even with Funchess returning, I like Moore against Tampa Bay in a must-win (and winnable) game for Carolina. Moore should be the Panthers' #1 wideout the rest of the way, even when Funchess is fully healthy.
TE Gerald Everett ($4,800) -- A solid boom-bust guy at this price.
RB Spencer Ware ($5,200) -- Of course. My 16th hyping of Kansas City's former backup RB this year. And it comes at an ideal time, with the opposing Raiders yielding a league-high 151.4 rushing yards per contest on 4.9 yards per carry. For those with short memories, Ware was fantasy's 17th highest scoring RB in 2016 despite playing only 14 games. He's also capable in the passing game. I can see a scenario where he scores twice on 150 total yards. Betting between that and a 70-yard scoreless day, I'd be on the first option.
DST Seahawks ($4,600) -- Nick Mullens shouldn't have earned another start. He won't finish the game. Simply put, Seattle's D will dominate the Niners. Earlier this week I predicted 20+ fantasy points. Sticking to it.
Good luck today.