One of the main reasons I wrote Fantasy Football for Winners and
started this blog was my disappointment in experts’ predictable predictions. “Start [insert elite QB] this week.” “Bench
[insert injured and past-his-prime RB] today.”
My thinking was, if people are like me, they’d rather hear about
high-risk, high-reward guys in weeks when the possibility of reward is
higher. Or normally startable players likely
to flop.
So in 2013 I released 10 preseason “bold” predictions that defied
expert opinions. I did the same in 2014,
and then expanded it to 50 unconventional preseason predictions in 2015. This past summer I did another 50, which have
been displayed on the main FF4W website for all to scrutinize / lambast since
early September: http://www.fantasyfootballforwinners.com/p/bold-predictions.html
Heading into today’s final games, 16 of this summer’s picks are essentially
locked in as “correct”—that overrated guys like Eli Manning, Adrian Peterson,
Jamaal Charles, DeAndre Hopkins, and Allen Hurns would flop, while completely
off-the-radar guys like Tevin Coleman, Spencer Ware, Bilal Powell, Mike
Wallace, and Kenny Stills would far exceed expectations.
At the same time, I’ll never be close to perfect when putting myself on
the outskirts of sensibility. 15 of my
preseason calls will certainly be wrong, including errantly thinking Ryan
Tannehill, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Keenan Allen, and Devin Funchess would be draft
steals, while Ezekiel Elliott, Jordy Nelson, Larry Fitzgerald, and Delanie
Walker would disappoint. Seems
ridiculous in hindsight, right?
So as of this morning, 19 of my predictions could go either way. As I often say, this site is only as useful
as it is accurate. We’ll know later
today—and I’ll report on Tuesday—how I did.
Good luck if you’re competing today.