Week 15 Saturday Night Football Recap, and the Importance of Accurate Predictions

When Matt Forte was declared active about an hour before yesterday’s kickoff, I continued to push Bilal Powell on readers right up to the last minute.  Being active doesn’t mean starting.  It doesn’t mean contributing.  It simply means they’ll play if needed.  And Forte wasn’t needed, except for some late-game mop-up duty.  Powell ran very efficiently, converting 27 touches into 15 fantasy points (26 in PPR).  Not bad for a guy rostered in less than half of ESPN fantasy leagues at the start of the week.  And not bad for a guy whose RB-59 preseason average draft position was, as many of you learned this summer, certifiably insane: http://www.fantasyfootballforwinners.com/2016/07/bold-predictions-11-and-12-bilal-powell.html

This site also hit on Jay Ajayi, declaring Thursday to “expect plenty of volume and not much else.”  The Jets’ strong run D contained Ajayi (and Damien Williams) several times at the goal-line, rendering Miami’s star RB fantasy useless.  And as many of you know in Q&A, I’d been pushing Robby Anderson and warning against Devante Parker all week.

However, I missed big on Miami’s out-of-nowhere breakout QB.  A few days ago I stated that “Matt Moore and company will struggle to sustain drives.”  The Jets’ D, I believed, would rise to the occasion and capitalize on a journeyman quarterback who hadn’t started a game in five years and whose career 35/35 TD/INT split was a clear indicator of his ceiling.  But never underestimate the ability of mediocrity to overcome terribleness.  It’s why I’m so high on guys like Tyrod Taylor today.

Beyond the hundreds of predictions offered in the comments section, I’ve made about 30 targeted predictions in the past few days’ columns.  All are bold to varying degrees—unconventional based on universal expert opinion.  As I’ve said many times, this site is worthless if it doesn’t provide value.  We’ll find out today—in the heart of the fantasy playoffs—whether it helps or hurts when it matters most to you.

Good luck today.