Surprisingly Droppable Players

Since a lot of league trade deadlines have passed, the Tuesday Trader feature is closed until next August.  This was the first season I’ve done it (and the first season for Free Agent Friday and Sleeper Saturday), so hopefully it helped keep content a little less scattershot than in years past.

So FF4W stalwart Joe Gross suggested I pull together some thoughts on guys to drop as we get close to the fantasy playoffs.  I interpreted from his post that he means less obvious guys.  Like who cares about someone advising to drop Rashard Higgins?  I won’t mention RB handcuffs, because although most won’t have any fantasy impact the rest of the way, most are worth at least considering rostering if you have room.  The rest are fair game.

At QB, Blake Bortles is (believe it or not) the 12th highest scoring fantasy QB in standard-scoring leagues.  But with games against Denver, Minnesota, Houston, and Tennessee on the horizon, surely there are better options in many leagues.  Lesser scorers like Eli Manning, Cam Newton, and even Jared Goff could outperform Bortles.  I wouldn’t want to rely on him, period.

At RB, Bortles’ teammate, Chris Ivory (as well as T.J. Yeldon) will find it tough to pull in RB3 numbers the rest of the way.  I’m also not high on Isaiah Crowell going forward, as his YPC is terrible and Cleveland will continue playing from behind most minutes in every game.  Tough to drop a guy with his overall production.  But again, I wouldn’t want to start him.  In Baltimore, Terrance West is steadily losing snaps to Kenneth Dixon; West is on the verge of being a desperation fantasy starter—not someone you can bank on for even 5+ points.  James Starks will crash back to earth—if not because of backfield competition, than because of the relatively tough run defenses Green Bay will face down the stretch.  Oh, and Ryan Mathews was a TD-dependent RB2 before getting hurt.  I think it’s clear that even when he returns, he won’t even be on the RB3 map.

Among wideouts, barring DeVante Parker getting sidelined, Jarvis Landry goes from top 20 WR to droppable.  I’m not trusting Mohamed Sanu with Tevin Coleman back and Taylor Gabriel eating up targets, yards, and touchdowns.  Those saving Alshon Jeffery for post-suspension need to consider Chicago’s ugly QB situation, the return of Marquess Wilson, and a healthy Cameron Meredith and Eddie Royal.  Jeffery will be lucky to post 7+ points in any of his final three games; I’d rather roster an RB handcuff.

At TE, I’m not banking on the 11th highest scorer, Jason Witten, to maintain TE1 numbers.  This offense runs through four guys: Ezekiel Elliott, Dak Prescott, Dez Bryant, and Cole Beasley.  Witten has one 8+ point day this season; don’t settle for five points when you can find a higher-upside option on waivers.  Meanwhile, to those rostering Julius Thomas in 43% of ESPN leagues: it’s over.  Move on.  The same goes for Dennis Pitta (owned in 47% of ESPN leagues) and Jack Doyle (26%).

Finally, I forgot about the Bears in yesterday’s post-Sunday rundown (hat tip to four-year FF4W member Mario Castro).  An injury prematurely ended Marquess Wilson’s breakout 2015 season.  Sunday, in only his second game of 2016, he reminded us of his abilities.  If Jeffery walks this offseason, a healthy Wilson could be starting opposite Kevin White next fall.  A half-decent QB should make both fantasy commodities.