Two more bold predictions to ignite agreement, debate, consternation, and/or pity:
(26) Jordy Nelson (WR-8 ADP) will not be a top 16 WR. In each of his last three 16-game seasons (2011, 2013, and 2014), Nelson averaged a 1,365/12 line. That elite-level consistency has made the Packers’ #1 receiver a reliable WR1 . . . until this year. It’s not just that he’s on the wrong side of 30 years old. It’s not merely the challenges that come with fully recovering from an ACL tear. It’s not only that the receiving unit he’s rejoining is a bit more talented, more diversified, and more experienced than the one he last played with in January 2015. Frankly, it’s all of these things. Too many things have to go perfectly for Nelson to make good on his average draft position.
(27) Terrance Williams (WR-68 ADP) will be a top 45 WR. For the second consecutive preseason, Williams is woefully undervalued. So for the second consecutive preseason, I’m naming him a buy-low candidate. Neither Cole Beasley nor Brice Butler nor any other Cowboy receiver not named Dez will post better receiving numbers than Williams. While the fourth-year contributor isn’t consistent enough to be an every-week starter, he can rattle off double-digit fantasy points for weeks straight when the offense is clicking. If you’re not convinced, consider that most of his 840-yard output in 2015 came off the arms of backup QBs. Once again, I’m drafting Williams late and feeling good about it.
And a reminder that if you want to join the Second Annual FF4W Survivor League, sign up at https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/survival. The Group ID is 2056 and the password is charlesclay.
(26) Jordy Nelson (WR-8 ADP) will not be a top 16 WR. In each of his last three 16-game seasons (2011, 2013, and 2014), Nelson averaged a 1,365/12 line. That elite-level consistency has made the Packers’ #1 receiver a reliable WR1 . . . until this year. It’s not just that he’s on the wrong side of 30 years old. It’s not merely the challenges that come with fully recovering from an ACL tear. It’s not only that the receiving unit he’s rejoining is a bit more talented, more diversified, and more experienced than the one he last played with in January 2015. Frankly, it’s all of these things. Too many things have to go perfectly for Nelson to make good on his average draft position.
(27) Terrance Williams (WR-68 ADP) will be a top 45 WR. For the second consecutive preseason, Williams is woefully undervalued. So for the second consecutive preseason, I’m naming him a buy-low candidate. Neither Cole Beasley nor Brice Butler nor any other Cowboy receiver not named Dez will post better receiving numbers than Williams. While the fourth-year contributor isn’t consistent enough to be an every-week starter, he can rattle off double-digit fantasy points for weeks straight when the offense is clicking. If you’re not convinced, consider that most of his 840-yard output in 2015 came off the arms of backup QBs. Once again, I’m drafting Williams late and feeling good about it.
And a reminder that if you want to join the Second Annual FF4W Survivor League, sign up at https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/survival. The Group ID is 2056 and the password is charlesclay.