It's always helpful to go out on a high note. I made 19 bold predictions heading into Week 17--picks that went entirely against the grain based on quantitatively compiled expert opinion. 14 hit, for an accuracy rate of 74%.
Notable unconventional predictions included calling out overrated top 10 positional players like Blake Bortles, Latavius Murray, Allen Robinson, and Doug Baldwin, and promoting the startability of seemingly irrelevant players like Ryan Tannehill, Tre Mason, Devin Funchess, and Terrance Williams.
It's a reminder that there's a science to this. Research is fine, but if it's not focused on the right things, the resulting analysis is often skewed. The key is understanding *why* there's a high probability that XYZ will occur instead of ABC, and then acting on XYZ when everyone else is telling you to pick ABC--to stand by your well-founded convictions.
With that, we'll do a couple more posts this week and then call it a season.
Notable unconventional predictions included calling out overrated top 10 positional players like Blake Bortles, Latavius Murray, Allen Robinson, and Doug Baldwin, and promoting the startability of seemingly irrelevant players like Ryan Tannehill, Tre Mason, Devin Funchess, and Terrance Williams.
It's a reminder that there's a science to this. Research is fine, but if it's not focused on the right things, the resulting analysis is often skewed. The key is understanding *why* there's a high probability that XYZ will occur instead of ABC, and then acting on XYZ when everyone else is telling you to pick ABC--to stand by your well-founded convictions.
With that, we'll do a couple more posts this week and then call it a season.