Week 11 Thursday Night Football Recap

On their opening drive of the second half, the Jaguars fed the ball to T.J. Yeldon four times.  Yeldon--who collected a respectable 82 yards and--then gave way to backup Denard Robinson on first and goal at Tennessee's 7.  Robinson proceeded to rush three times for five yards, leading to a 20-yard field goal.

For all my talk about Yeldon yesterday, one thing is clear: Until Jacksonville coach Gus Bradley trusts his rookie near the goal line, Yeldon likely won't exceed RB3 value the rest of the way.  It's something to watch closely, as it could mean the difference between a 7-9 point performance and a 14-20 point performance come playoff time.

Other observations:

(1) Any time someone's asked me whether they should start Antonio Andrews, about 98% of the time I've said no.  Given his decent numbers this year, I've clearly been wrong about 30% of the time.  To those of you planning to stick with Andrews the rest of the way, beyond the (small? significant?) risk that David Cobb poses, Andrews and the Titans have road matchups against the Jets (Week 14) and Patriots (Week 15)--the league's two best run defenses.  He needs to be traded now, before he gives you three points in a crucial fantasy playoff game.

(2) Allen Robinson was productive as expected.  He's Jacksonville's Calvin Johnson or Odell Beckham, Jr.--the centerpiece of the offense, without whom the team's complexion dchanges dramatically.  And while I'm not saying Robinson is on par with Calvin in his prime or ODB circa 2014, if you saw Robinson's grab last night over two defenders, it's a reminder that he has top 3 WR potential next season.

(3) And as expected, Allen Hurns regressed.  Big time. In my work league, I traded him a couple weeks ago for Eddie Lacy.  Seemed a little nutty at the time, but given my concerns about Hurns sustaining WR1 value, grabbing an undperforming, RB1-upside guy like Lacy makes sense.  Hurns will be hit or miss in the fantasy playoffs.  But the difference is with Lacy, we'll know before kickoff whether he's back to his old self (start him with confidence) or not (bench with confidence).

(4) Blake Bortles hurt a lot of teams yesterday.  I was definitely wrong about what he'd do.  Despite throwing for more than 8 yards per attempt (only five QBs average more this season), they had to settle for too many field goals.  Credit Tennessee for a bend-not-break defense.  Bortles remains a must-start, likely 3-TD QB next week against San Diego.

(5) Delanie Walker and Marcus Mariota have terrific chemistry.  He's a prime red zone target and should be owned in more than 84% of current ESPN leagues.  With Kendall Wright continually sidelined and DGB still learning the system, Walker should be a TE1 the rest of the way.