Can We Be Successful Not Drafting WRs Until Later Rounds?

What's wrong with these standard league draft selections?

Round 2: Randall Cobb
Round 3: Mike Evans
Round 4: Keenan Allen

This morning I did my first of what will be 100+ mock drafts in the next six weeks, assessing where people are assigning value to which players.  In this draft, seven of the 12 people selected two WRs in their first four picks.  Two people (including the guy above) picked three WRs in their first four picks.

And everyone--*everyone*--had filled up their three WR slots by Round 7.

Insanity.

Historically, it's been harder to predict which guys will finish the year with top 20 WR numbers than it is to predict any other position's elite / near-elite performers.  For example, last year I accurately predicted 11 WRs who finished in the top 20.  CBS Sports accurately predicted nine.  ESPN and Yahoo! Sports nailed only eight.

Also, there are at least 60 WRs with WR1/2/3 potential.  Look at any season, and you'll find 10-20 surprises among the top 35.  By drafting your WR starters early, you're giving up the chance to land an elite or near-elite player at another position--plus, you're not maximizing your potential to grab a WR3 steal later in the draft or early in the season.

So resist the temptation to load up on WRs.  A cheap WR1/2/3 is never hard to find.