Preseason Fantasy Rundown, Team #2: Philadelphia Eagles

Today let’s take an initial look at the Eagles, where I see a lot of underrated and overrated players who could crush/propel fantasy owners’ championship hopes.

The consensus among the fantasy world is that Sam Bradford (#15 ADP) will start over Mark Sanchez (no official ADP rating) at QB.  Most of you know that I don’t hold back on this site; doesn’t benefit anyone if there’s a lot of hedging.  Here’s the reality: It’s more likely that Sanchez will be a top 16 fantasy QB than Bradford will be healthy and/or starting by the season’s second half.  Sanchez’s 14/11 TD/INT ratio last year in eight starts was unimpressive from a fantasy perspective.  But his 2,418 passing yards and career-high 64% completion percentage is something he can build on.  I see him as a high-end QB2 / low-end QB1 if he gets the starting nod.  Based on perceived value, he’s one of the most underrated QBs in this year’s fantasy drafts.

I’ve already talked about DeMarco Murray, so no need to repeat myself.  Although Ryan Mathews carries his own injury risks, his RB ADP (#44) presents a bargain opportunity if Murray gets hurt.  His career 4.4 YPC should improve behind Philadelphia’s solid run-blocking line.  As for Darren Sproles, at 31 years old he still has some juice, but in non-PPR leagues, he’ll frustrate fantasy owners far more often than not.

There’s a lot to like about WR Nelson Agholor, but his #41 WR ADP is a little gutsy.  It suggests he should be an every week starter in 14+ team, 3-WR  leagues, which I don’t yet see.  Could be very wrong.  But I think there’s greater risk his fantasy numbers won’t match the hype.  As for Jordan Matthews, he was one of my 10 “bold” predictions last preseason, when I predicted he’d be a top 25 fantasy WR (he was 24th overall) when most experts placed him in the 40s, 50s, and worse.  Because sentimentality has no place in fantasy football, I’m wary of his 19 WR ADP this year.

On the TE side, Zach Ertz has top 10 TE written all over him—and right now I’m considering placing him in my top 5.  Football Outsiders recently discovered that 24.7% of passes thrown to Ertz last year were “uncatchable.”  Yet he still posted top 14 TE numbers with 702 yards and three scores.  I’m anticipating 900+ yards and 6+ scores.   His current TE ADP is #9, with a #93 overall ranking.  While I still need to see more this preseason, it wouldn’t shock me if he returns fifth round value, making him a potential steal at his current placement.