Over the next several weeks I'll offer initial thoughts on each NFL team. Barring injury, most of these thoughts are not likely to change. This won't be an exhaustive breakdown, but rather a highlight of some key players who are primarily overrated or underrated heading into the season.
NEW YORK JETS:
WR Brandon Marshall's move to Jets will prove to be awful from a fantasy perspective, not to mention career-wise. I expect him to finish outside the top 30 at his position, despite his current #21 ADP WR ranking.
Eric Decker was 28th best fantasy WR last year, with 23% of his fantasy production (28 points) coming in the season's final game. His WR ADP sits at #40. He'll be lucky to finish in the top 40. I wouldn't want to draft him.
These two WRs' values hinge on QB Geno Smith, who's averaging 186 passing yards and less than one passing TD per contest in his 30-game NFL career. Even if he elevates his game to mediocrity in 2015, his receivers simply will not rack up enough big-yardage gains or scoring opportunities to make them anything more than WR3/4s.
Then there's the backfield. which right now features three former NFL starters and two guys who at times have proven to be useful fillers. Sadly for anyone who drafts one of these guys, the likelihood that one rises to the top--and moreover, that this RB actually produces more than RB4 numbers--is about 2%. And that's being kind.
No offense to the Jets ("None taken," say Jets fans everywhere). But I'm staying away from this team on draft day, and unless Geno Smith can take his game to the next level, they'll remain off my fantasy radar until 2016 at the earliest.
NEW YORK JETS:
WR Brandon Marshall's move to Jets will prove to be awful from a fantasy perspective, not to mention career-wise. I expect him to finish outside the top 30 at his position, despite his current #21 ADP WR ranking.
Eric Decker was 28th best fantasy WR last year, with 23% of his fantasy production (28 points) coming in the season's final game. His WR ADP sits at #40. He'll be lucky to finish in the top 40. I wouldn't want to draft him.
These two WRs' values hinge on QB Geno Smith, who's averaging 186 passing yards and less than one passing TD per contest in his 30-game NFL career. Even if he elevates his game to mediocrity in 2015, his receivers simply will not rack up enough big-yardage gains or scoring opportunities to make them anything more than WR3/4s.
Then there's the backfield. which right now features three former NFL starters and two guys who at times have proven to be useful fillers. Sadly for anyone who drafts one of these guys, the likelihood that one rises to the top--and moreover, that this RB actually produces more than RB4 numbers--is about 2%. And that's being kind.
No offense to the Jets ("None taken," say Jets fans everywhere). But I'm staying away from this team on draft day, and unless Geno Smith can take his game to the next level, they'll remain off my fantasy radar until 2016 at the earliest.