A few days ago on this site, I recommended starting Matt Stafford and two severely underrated QBs: Shaun Hill and Ryan Fitzpatrick, both of whom I believed would post QB1 numbers. To the "experts," this was equivalent to fantasy blasphemy.
Fantasy Pros compiles 96 expert rankings each week on each NFL fantasy player. Hill's composite Week 13 QB ranking was 27th, with no one ranking him above 14th. Fitzpatrick was ranked 30th, with one person ranking him 12th, and no one else ranking him about 20th.
I point this out for two reasons:
(1) Yeah, I admit it: it felt good to get these picks right. I'm only human. Identifying high-level fantasy production before it happens is something I spend a lot of time researching, so it's cool when the projection becomes the reality.
(2) 96 of the biggest fantasy experts got these picks wrong. Think about that. One of my biggest knocks on "expert" sites is their frequent unwillingness to take a well-reasoned leap--risking industry ridicule in the process--to deliver more than just the same repackaged rankings as everyone else.
Those who started Hill received top 10 QB production. Those who started Fitzpatrick got Week 13's #1 overall scorer (I don't think anyone in tonight's game will match it), and more likely than not won their critically important matchup.
You might not agree with all of this site's bold predictions. And clearly, a good chunk of the time (30%-40%) you'd be right to ignore them. But if at any time you're desperate for more than mediocre performances from any of your players--if you're not satisfied with getting 3-6 points from your TE1--you have a home here. My TE recommendation might get you only 1-3 points. But 60%-70% of the time, he'll get you 8+. Throughout the season, on balance, you'll come out ahead.
I have nothing against the "experts" out there who craft generic rankings. But I've found over the years that ignoring them gives me the best chance to win.
Fantasy Pros compiles 96 expert rankings each week on each NFL fantasy player. Hill's composite Week 13 QB ranking was 27th, with no one ranking him above 14th. Fitzpatrick was ranked 30th, with one person ranking him 12th, and no one else ranking him about 20th.
I point this out for two reasons:
(1) Yeah, I admit it: it felt good to get these picks right. I'm only human. Identifying high-level fantasy production before it happens is something I spend a lot of time researching, so it's cool when the projection becomes the reality.
(2) 96 of the biggest fantasy experts got these picks wrong. Think about that. One of my biggest knocks on "expert" sites is their frequent unwillingness to take a well-reasoned leap--risking industry ridicule in the process--to deliver more than just the same repackaged rankings as everyone else.
Those who started Hill received top 10 QB production. Those who started Fitzpatrick got Week 13's #1 overall scorer (I don't think anyone in tonight's game will match it), and more likely than not won their critically important matchup.
You might not agree with all of this site's bold predictions. And clearly, a good chunk of the time (30%-40%) you'd be right to ignore them. But if at any time you're desperate for more than mediocre performances from any of your players--if you're not satisfied with getting 3-6 points from your TE1--you have a home here. My TE recommendation might get you only 1-3 points. But 60%-70% of the time, he'll get you 8+. Throughout the season, on balance, you'll come out ahead.
I have nothing against the "experts" out there who craft generic rankings. But I've found over the years that ignoring them gives me the best chance to win.