With the NFL season over, this will be my final post until next summer. As always, I'm happy to field any questions for those of you in daily leagues or special playoff competitions.
A few final thoughts on the season: Of my 10 bold preseason predictions (excluding, of course, the preseason injury to Sam Bradford), this site hit 4 on the nose, missed 4 badly, and came close on 2. With the slight exception of Matt Ryan, all of these picks deviated significantly-to-wildly from experts' predictions:
And the final tally on preseason rankings:
https://www.facebook.com/FantasyFootballForWinners/posts/731692750212040
It's been fantastic communicating with so many of you this fantasy football season. Last preseason (2013) this blog started with one follower (my wife) and grew to 800 by year's end. Now there are nearly 2,700 of us. It's made responding to everyone's questions more challenging (time wise) and also more rewarding. Thanks everyone for keeping things positive.
On the book front (the impetus for this blog), if you've read and enjoyed Fantasy Football for Winners and want to write a review on Amazon.com, fantastic. And I should clarify: If you *didn't* enjoy FF4W, you're still encouraged to write a review so I can learn from it. Reviews help boost the book's profile, which drives up sales, which gets me another year closer to retiring so I can respond to a more and more of your questions. See how that works? The cycle of life. And at this rate, I'll be able to retire in about 78 years.
As always, this blog is about reaping the benefits of differentiation; if your picks are 1% more accurate next year than they were this year, that could mean the difference between an 8-5 and 9-4 regular season, or for daily leagues the difference between finishing in 2,000th place and out of the money vs. 1,200th place and doubling your money. The smartest moves are the ones borne from sound reasoning, which increase our probability of success.
Fantasy football, after all, is as much a game of inches as the real thing.
A few final thoughts on the season: Of my 10 bold preseason predictions (excluding, of course, the preseason injury to Sam Bradford), this site hit 4 on the nose, missed 4 badly, and came close on 2. With the slight exception of Matt Ryan, all of these picks deviated significantly-to-wildly from experts' predictions:
- Matt Ryan will be a top 3 fantasy QB (actual: 7th)
- Devonta Freeman will be a top 25 fantasy RB (actual: 67th)
- Michael Floyd will be a top 12 fantasy WR (actual: 34th)
- Jordan Reed will be a top 4 fantasy TE (actual: 29th)
- Greg Zuerlein will be a top 5 fantasy K (actual: 21st)
- Jordan Matthews will be a top 25 fantasy WR (actual: 24th)
- The Texans will be a top 5 fantasy DST (actual: 4th)
- 49ers will NOT be a top 10 fantasy DST (actual: 10th)
- Toby Gerhart will NOT be a top 30 fantasy RB (actual: 61st)
- Pierre Garcon will NOT be a top 25 fantasy WR (actual: 54th)
And the final tally on preseason rankings:
https://www.facebook.com/FantasyFootballForWinners/posts/731692750212040
- ESPN: 48% accurate
- Yahoo! Sports: 49% accurate
- CBS Sports: 51% accurate
- FF4W Blog: 58% accurate
It's been fantastic communicating with so many of you this fantasy football season. Last preseason (2013) this blog started with one follower (my wife) and grew to 800 by year's end. Now there are nearly 2,700 of us. It's made responding to everyone's questions more challenging (time wise) and also more rewarding. Thanks everyone for keeping things positive.
On the book front (the impetus for this blog), if you've read and enjoyed Fantasy Football for Winners and want to write a review on Amazon.com, fantastic. And I should clarify: If you *didn't* enjoy FF4W, you're still encouraged to write a review so I can learn from it. Reviews help boost the book's profile, which drives up sales, which gets me another year closer to retiring so I can respond to a more and more of your questions. See how that works? The cycle of life. And at this rate, I'll be able to retire in about 78 years.
As always, this blog is about reaping the benefits of differentiation; if your picks are 1% more accurate next year than they were this year, that could mean the difference between an 8-5 and 9-4 regular season, or for daily leagues the difference between finishing in 2,000th place and out of the money vs. 1,200th place and doubling your money. The smartest moves are the ones borne from sound reasoning, which increase our probability of success.
Fantasy football, after all, is as much a game of inches as the real thing.