Not a huge fan of the "Stock Up / Stock Down" assessments I read on a lot of "expert" fantasy sites, primarily because many put too much weight on streaky players. My approach to winning is to do the opposite: put weight on struggling players who should rebound, because I've applied the previously earlier explained "Four Criteria for Determining Future Fantasy Success" (see post here: https://www.facebook.com/FantasyFootballForWinners/posts/747133955334586 / http://www.fantasyfootballforwinners.com/2014/10/when-to-cut-bait-on-fantasy-stud.html).
Two weekends ago I named two (and only two) players who were worthy desperation plays: Corey Fuller and Brandon Tate. Each has gone on to score once in the past two games, giving savvy owners players with occasional WR2 value where previously they had zero value.
Last weekend I highlighted four players who could have much better days than their projections suggested: Matt Ryan, Roy Helu, Keenan Allen, and Brandon Pettigrew. I was admittedly wrong on all four for Week 7. But that doesn't make them bad picks for Week 8--except Pettigrew, who likely won't play today.
While Ryan's o-line is terrible, the same was said of Tom Brady's 0-line a few weeks ago. I still believe the coaching staff will figure out a way to rack up points in spite of its o-line shortcomings. Ryan will be the primary beneficiary.
I targeted Helu last week after determining that Alfred Morris is not the answer in Washington. Helu is arguably a better RB, though not as durable. While still a desperation play, he's a must-own handcuff going forward, particularly when RGIII returns.
For Allen, it was only a matter of time. Defenses had been collapsing around him, but San Diego was still finding ways to win. With Gates, Floyd, and Royal distinguishing themselves as playmakers, eventually opposing coaching staffs have to realize that they can't win unless they try to stop everyone. That's, in part, why Allen had a nice day on Thursday, and should continue to assert himself as a near-elite WR going forward.
Other guys I'm relatively high on:
(1) Mohammed Sanu (what else is new) -- should rebound from last week's letdown.
(2) Andy Dalton -- same as Sanu in the rebound category; should post 2+ scores.
(3) Alshon Jeffery -- a lot of people on Twitter are considering benching him after netting only 9 yards last week; but he got 7 targets; it was a fluky performance that won't come close to being repeated.
(4) Jordan Matthews is due.
(5) Bryce Brown is the better option than Alan Dixon, despite many experts' greater focus on Dixon.
And here are some players I'm down on:
(1) Ben Tate -- one of fantasy's biggest sell-high guys; he's not durable, does not play for a strong offensive team, and is facing too much RB competition from Crowell and (potentially) West.
(2) Justin Forsett -- another huge sell-high player; there is virtually no way he'll keep up this pace, and could be a complete fantasy playoff bust.
(3) Joe Flacco -- a deceptively bad matchup today--probably won't be a top 15 QB option.
(4) Darren McFadden -- as with every season, the ride is coming to an end for the injury-prone McFadden.
(5) Tre Mason -- too many people are using precious waiver slots to pick him up. I don't see him producing today or in most weeks going forward.
Good luck in Week 8.
Two weekends ago I named two (and only two) players who were worthy desperation plays: Corey Fuller and Brandon Tate. Each has gone on to score once in the past two games, giving savvy owners players with occasional WR2 value where previously they had zero value.
Last weekend I highlighted four players who could have much better days than their projections suggested: Matt Ryan, Roy Helu, Keenan Allen, and Brandon Pettigrew. I was admittedly wrong on all four for Week 7. But that doesn't make them bad picks for Week 8--except Pettigrew, who likely won't play today.
While Ryan's o-line is terrible, the same was said of Tom Brady's 0-line a few weeks ago. I still believe the coaching staff will figure out a way to rack up points in spite of its o-line shortcomings. Ryan will be the primary beneficiary.
I targeted Helu last week after determining that Alfred Morris is not the answer in Washington. Helu is arguably a better RB, though not as durable. While still a desperation play, he's a must-own handcuff going forward, particularly when RGIII returns.
For Allen, it was only a matter of time. Defenses had been collapsing around him, but San Diego was still finding ways to win. With Gates, Floyd, and Royal distinguishing themselves as playmakers, eventually opposing coaching staffs have to realize that they can't win unless they try to stop everyone. That's, in part, why Allen had a nice day on Thursday, and should continue to assert himself as a near-elite WR going forward.
Other guys I'm relatively high on:
(1) Mohammed Sanu (what else is new) -- should rebound from last week's letdown.
(2) Andy Dalton -- same as Sanu in the rebound category; should post 2+ scores.
(3) Alshon Jeffery -- a lot of people on Twitter are considering benching him after netting only 9 yards last week; but he got 7 targets; it was a fluky performance that won't come close to being repeated.
(4) Jordan Matthews is due.
(5) Bryce Brown is the better option than Alan Dixon, despite many experts' greater focus on Dixon.
And here are some players I'm down on:
(1) Ben Tate -- one of fantasy's biggest sell-high guys; he's not durable, does not play for a strong offensive team, and is facing too much RB competition from Crowell and (potentially) West.
(2) Justin Forsett -- another huge sell-high player; there is virtually no way he'll keep up this pace, and could be a complete fantasy playoff bust.
(3) Joe Flacco -- a deceptively bad matchup today--probably won't be a top 15 QB option.
(4) Darren McFadden -- as with every season, the ride is coming to an end for the injury-prone McFadden.
(5) Tre Mason -- too many people are using precious waiver slots to pick him up. I don't see him producing today or in most weeks going forward.
Good luck in Week 8.