Why Rounds 6-10 Are So Important in Fantasy Drafts

I was a guest on ESPN Sports Radio 1300 AM this past Sunday and will be on ESPN Boise 730 AM tonight. Many hosts and listeners want to know the same things, including:

  1. Who would you recommend taking with the first overall pick?
  2. Will [Peyton Manning, Jamaal Charles, etc.] be just as dominant this season?

And so on.

I love being on these shows, primarily because it gives me the opportunity to share fantasy information that many hosts aren't accustomed to hearing. For example, I told hosts Eric and April on Sunday that I don't care much about the first round because there's little variance of perceived success: in 12-team leagues, there are about 16-18 potential 1st rounders in about 99% of drafts; the others are very, very bold outliers.

What I do care about is the 6th to 10th rounds, where about 100-150 players comprise the 60 picks taken in 12-team leagues. That's a lot of variables, and a lot of risk taking. History shows that if I win rounds 6-10, I dominate the season.
So I'll continue to try to steer radio hosts and their listeners away from questions that any of us can answer, and focus instead on the questions and answers that decide championships.