I've nailed a lot of picks on this blog over the past 10 days, both in posts and in comments. From Donald Brown to Eddie Lacy to Jerick McKinnon, overrated and underrated players have been identified at peak and bottom-barrel prices.
But I also got a big one wrong: Cordarrelle Patterson was essentially worthless from a fantasy perspective yesterday. 38 yards and zero scores are a far cry from my Sunday morning prediction. But if I could do it all over again, I'd still make the same call.
When teams underperform in successive weeks, and their star players are underutilized during those games, it's common for coaching staffs to adjust their schemes to capitalize on the talent they have. It's why over the years I've lunged at RB1s who underperform--along with their teams--in back-to-back weeks. Most of the time, both team and player will figure things out.
I used this thinking to make my prediction. Most of the time, this scenario leads to terrific outcomes. Occasionally, it doesn't play out as expected.
A key to fantasy football is not letting outliers to diminish the integrity of effective strategies. I'll continue to make similar predictions when certain variables are in place. If I can hit on 65% to 70% of them, that should be enough to win my league.
But I also got a big one wrong: Cordarrelle Patterson was essentially worthless from a fantasy perspective yesterday. 38 yards and zero scores are a far cry from my Sunday morning prediction. But if I could do it all over again, I'd still make the same call.
When teams underperform in successive weeks, and their star players are underutilized during those games, it's common for coaching staffs to adjust their schemes to capitalize on the talent they have. It's why over the years I've lunged at RB1s who underperform--along with their teams--in back-to-back weeks. Most of the time, both team and player will figure things out.
I used this thinking to make my prediction. Most of the time, this scenario leads to terrific outcomes. Occasionally, it doesn't play out as expected.
A key to fantasy football is not letting outliers to diminish the integrity of effective strategies. I'll continue to make similar predictions when certain variables are in place. If I can hit on 65% to 70% of them, that should be enough to win my league.