It's that time of year again: Christmas in August. Fantasy football drafts are being conducted and celebrated throughout the country, as millions of us vie for recognition as a "champion." Life doesn't get much better than that.
As you all know, I win leagues by not listening to the white noise emanating from so many fantasy "experts" on TV, the radio, and on websites many competitors rely on for accurate advice. Don't believe the hype.
Last preseason I made 10 bold predictions that almost none of the other renowned "experts" were making. Why? To prove that conventional wisdom is frequently conventional stupidity. As you'll see in the coming days, nearly every one of those predictions came true. Why? Because good ol' fashioned research trumps laziness.
This year I'm going to make some more bold predictions that could mean the difference between 5th place and a championship. In other words, if you follow my advice, you'll get an edge on your competitors because they won't find this advice anywhere else. Here's a sneak peek:
I was just in a mock draft where the Texans were ranked as the 18th best DST. While they gave up the 8th most points in 2013, they also yielded the 7th fewest yards, thanks in part to Matt Schaub's record four straight pick-six's. They were a better D last year than the stats suggest, and they'll be even better in 2014.
In leagues that reward 4 points for 40+ yard kicks and 5 points for 50+ yard kicks, Steve Zuerlein will score more fantasy points than Matt Prater. Huh? Then why is everyone grabbing Prater first or second, and why is Zuerlein unowned in most fantasy leagues? Because too many people look at rankings instead of the numbers behind the rankings.
Pierre Garcon is listed everywhere as a top 15 WR. "Experts" point out that he earned the second most targets last season and should continue to be a target monster--this despite the arrival of DeSean Jackson, a healthy near-elite TE in Jordan Reed (who missed nearly half of last season), and a belief that Washington will improve on its 3rd-worst-in-the-NFL points differential from last year, which caused them to air out the ball in garbage time because they were often way behind. No, Garcon will finish outside the top 25 WR, and all who believe otherwise will draft him way too early.
I'm a two-time fantasy champion vs. nearly 400,000 opponents combined, am the author of "Fantasy Football for Winners," and am a frequent guest on radio shows throughout the country. I say this not to win you over, but to explain that I spend hundreds of hours each preseason studying this stuff, with the sole purpose of helping you win your league.
So keep tabs on this site. If you follow my advice--as many readers on this site will attest--you'll have a competitive advantage that no one else in your league will have.
As you all know, I win leagues by not listening to the white noise emanating from so many fantasy "experts" on TV, the radio, and on websites many competitors rely on for accurate advice. Don't believe the hype.
Last preseason I made 10 bold predictions that almost none of the other renowned "experts" were making. Why? To prove that conventional wisdom is frequently conventional stupidity. As you'll see in the coming days, nearly every one of those predictions came true. Why? Because good ol' fashioned research trumps laziness.
This year I'm going to make some more bold predictions that could mean the difference between 5th place and a championship. In other words, if you follow my advice, you'll get an edge on your competitors because they won't find this advice anywhere else. Here's a sneak peek:
I was just in a mock draft where the Texans were ranked as the 18th best DST. While they gave up the 8th most points in 2013, they also yielded the 7th fewest yards, thanks in part to Matt Schaub's record four straight pick-six's. They were a better D last year than the stats suggest, and they'll be even better in 2014.
In leagues that reward 4 points for 40+ yard kicks and 5 points for 50+ yard kicks, Steve Zuerlein will score more fantasy points than Matt Prater. Huh? Then why is everyone grabbing Prater first or second, and why is Zuerlein unowned in most fantasy leagues? Because too many people look at rankings instead of the numbers behind the rankings.
Pierre Garcon is listed everywhere as a top 15 WR. "Experts" point out that he earned the second most targets last season and should continue to be a target monster--this despite the arrival of DeSean Jackson, a healthy near-elite TE in Jordan Reed (who missed nearly half of last season), and a belief that Washington will improve on its 3rd-worst-in-the-NFL points differential from last year, which caused them to air out the ball in garbage time because they were often way behind. No, Garcon will finish outside the top 25 WR, and all who believe otherwise will draft him way too early.
I'm a two-time fantasy champion vs. nearly 400,000 opponents combined, am the author of "Fantasy Football for Winners," and am a frequent guest on radio shows throughout the country. I say this not to win you over, but to explain that I spend hundreds of hours each preseason studying this stuff, with the sole purpose of helping you win your league.
So keep tabs on this site. If you follow my advice--as many readers on this site will attest--you'll have a competitive advantage that no one else in your league will have.