As I've said again and again, the secret to fantasy football is knowing when one of your players' perceived value is higher than his actual value. When it is, it's time to trade that player and get more "real" value in return.
When an opponent's player's perceived value is lower than his actual value, it's time to trade for him, so you can once again acquire more "real" value in return.
The Chiefs have the #1 DST in fantasy football. Even more incredibly, they've scored the 16th most fantasy points overall. Not bad for a defense that was drafted, on average, with the 170th pick in ESPN online drafts.
I picked up the Chiefs in one of my two leagues right before Week 4. They're the best player on my team, which includes Dez Bryant and a host of other good-to-great players. They've been an every week starter (not including their bye) ever since.
But winning requires looking beyond past numbers and toward future production. What will the Chiefs give me the rest of the season?
I concluded that their huge scoring output is a bit misleading. Yes, they have a great defense. But the nine teams they've played have a combined winning percentage of .357. None of their opponents have an above-.500 record.
Meanwhile, their remaining games include two contests against the 8-1 Broncos--a team averaging about 10 more points per game than the 2nd highest scoring team in the league. In addition, games against the Chargers, Redskins, and Colts will not be easy on the Chiefs' vaunted D.
Taken together, this DST--while elite--has more perceived value than actual value. They will take some lumps in at least two of the next three games. And they're no lock to dominate the Redskins on the road or the Andrew Luck- / T.Y. Hilton-led Colts.
So yesterday I gave up nearly nothing for the #2 ranked Seahawks D, making the Chiefs a little more expendable. And today I traded the Chiefs D and RGIII for LeSean McCoy and Jordan Reed. I gave up the #1 DST and #11 QB for a top 5 RB and the #8 (and climbing) TE. I envisioned starting the Chiefs only one or two more times this season, as that's how many good matchups they have left. McCoy and Reed? They're every week starters, and are near the top of their respective positions.
Now is the time to trade the Chiefs D. Now is the time to unload any player whose perceived value is higher than his actual value. Follow my lead, and win. Convincingly.
When an opponent's player's perceived value is lower than his actual value, it's time to trade for him, so you can once again acquire more "real" value in return.
The Chiefs have the #1 DST in fantasy football. Even more incredibly, they've scored the 16th most fantasy points overall. Not bad for a defense that was drafted, on average, with the 170th pick in ESPN online drafts.
I picked up the Chiefs in one of my two leagues right before Week 4. They're the best player on my team, which includes Dez Bryant and a host of other good-to-great players. They've been an every week starter (not including their bye) ever since.
But winning requires looking beyond past numbers and toward future production. What will the Chiefs give me the rest of the season?
I concluded that their huge scoring output is a bit misleading. Yes, they have a great defense. But the nine teams they've played have a combined winning percentage of .357. None of their opponents have an above-.500 record.
Meanwhile, their remaining games include two contests against the 8-1 Broncos--a team averaging about 10 more points per game than the 2nd highest scoring team in the league. In addition, games against the Chargers, Redskins, and Colts will not be easy on the Chiefs' vaunted D.
Taken together, this DST--while elite--has more perceived value than actual value. They will take some lumps in at least two of the next three games. And they're no lock to dominate the Redskins on the road or the Andrew Luck- / T.Y. Hilton-led Colts.
So yesterday I gave up nearly nothing for the #2 ranked Seahawks D, making the Chiefs a little more expendable. And today I traded the Chiefs D and RGIII for LeSean McCoy and Jordan Reed. I gave up the #1 DST and #11 QB for a top 5 RB and the #8 (and climbing) TE. I envisioned starting the Chiefs only one or two more times this season, as that's how many good matchups they have left. McCoy and Reed? They're every week starters, and are near the top of their respective positions.
Now is the time to trade the Chiefs D. Now is the time to unload any player whose perceived value is higher than his actual value. Follow my lead, and win. Convincingly.