Do you suffer from Eddie Royal-itis? James Starks Syndrome? Willis McGahee-steria? Stop overreacting and start thinking smart.
Just because a mediocre player has a great game, it doesn't mean he's likely to repeat it anytime soon . . . if ever. And just because someone has been anointed a starting QB, RB, etc., it doesn't mean he's fantasy-worthy.
Since his breakout rookie year in 2008, Eddie Royal has been fantasy irrelevant—until last week, when he had the best game among all WRs. Before this season he had never scored more than 1 TD in a game. Now he has 5 in 2 games. Do we honestly believe this is a sign of things to come? There are 4 other receivers (Malcolm Floyd, Antonio Gates, Vincent Brown, and Keenan Allen) who are in line for catches each week in San Diego. And QB Philip Rivers will not maintain his pace of 4.912 passing yards and 56 passing TDs. Royal might help your team once every 3-4 weeks going forward. But not like he did in Week 2. And not often enough to waste a waiver pick when there are plenty of better WRs available on the waiver wire.
James Starks had 162 touches in 2011; he scored 1 TD. He had 102 touches in 2012 . . . and scored 1 TD. His TD in Week 2 was a fluke. It pushed the Packers' lead to 31 points late in the 3rd quarter. The hapless Redskins D missed several tackles--not because of Starks' elusiveness (he essentially ran straight ahead for 32 yards), but because the 'Skins simply looked inept. Those who wasted a waiver pick on Starks will regret it when he rushes for less than 50 yards and 0 TDs in Cincinnati this weekend. Then he'll be relegated to the bench when Green Bay returns from its bye in Week 5, when Eddie Lacy expects to return.
And Willis McGahee? Does anyone seriously think that the 31-year-old retiree--who likely will split carries in the Browns backfield--will be a productive fantasy contributor for what is now arguably the most anemic offense in the league?
Apparently so, as he's one of this week's hottest free agent pickups.
Fantasy owners who overreact don't win. Period. Anticipate future success.
Don't cling to surprising performances of the past.
Just because a mediocre player has a great game, it doesn't mean he's likely to repeat it anytime soon . . . if ever. And just because someone has been anointed a starting QB, RB, etc., it doesn't mean he's fantasy-worthy.
Since his breakout rookie year in 2008, Eddie Royal has been fantasy irrelevant—until last week, when he had the best game among all WRs. Before this season he had never scored more than 1 TD in a game. Now he has 5 in 2 games. Do we honestly believe this is a sign of things to come? There are 4 other receivers (Malcolm Floyd, Antonio Gates, Vincent Brown, and Keenan Allen) who are in line for catches each week in San Diego. And QB Philip Rivers will not maintain his pace of 4.912 passing yards and 56 passing TDs. Royal might help your team once every 3-4 weeks going forward. But not like he did in Week 2. And not often enough to waste a waiver pick when there are plenty of better WRs available on the waiver wire.
James Starks had 162 touches in 2011; he scored 1 TD. He had 102 touches in 2012 . . . and scored 1 TD. His TD in Week 2 was a fluke. It pushed the Packers' lead to 31 points late in the 3rd quarter. The hapless Redskins D missed several tackles--not because of Starks' elusiveness (he essentially ran straight ahead for 32 yards), but because the 'Skins simply looked inept. Those who wasted a waiver pick on Starks will regret it when he rushes for less than 50 yards and 0 TDs in Cincinnati this weekend. Then he'll be relegated to the bench when Green Bay returns from its bye in Week 5, when Eddie Lacy expects to return.
And Willis McGahee? Does anyone seriously think that the 31-year-old retiree--who likely will split carries in the Browns backfield--will be a productive fantasy contributor for what is now arguably the most anemic offense in the league?
Apparently so, as he's one of this week's hottest free agent pickups.
- Last week, Royal was owned in 8% of ESPN fantasy leagues. Today? 81%
- Last week, Royal was owned in 0% of ESPN fantasy leagues. Today? 78%
- Last week, Royal was owned in 1% of ESPN fantasy leagues. Today? 18%
Fantasy owners who overreact don't win. Period. Anticipate future success.
Don't cling to surprising performances of the past.