Top 10 Fantasy Draft Tips: #6 . . . Run-Friendly and Pass-Friendly Offenses

Top 10 Kick-ass Fantasy Football Draft Tips:

#6 . . .

Each season between 2001 and 2012, the five NFL teams with the fewest PA (points against) averaged more rushing attempts than the five teams that surrendered the most points.  In fact, this held true every year, culminating in an average of more than 4.5 extra rushes per game for each low PA teams vs. each high PA team.

What does this mean?  If you are debating whether to draft RB 1 and RB 2, and RB 1 plays for a team expected to give up very few points, while RB 2 plays for a team expected to give up a lot of points, RB 1's team is likely to average 4.5 extra rushing attempts per game.  That could mean the difference between a 1-point loss against your friend Steve--or a 1-point win.

Similarly, each season between 2001 and 2012, the five NFL teams with the most PA averaged more passing attempts than the five teams that gave up the least points.  Again, this held true every year, culminating in an average of more than 3 extra passes per game for each high PA teams vs. each low PA team.

Translation: When choosing among two equal QBs--one playing for a terrible defensive team and the other playing for an exceptional defensive team--the former is likely to average more than 3 extra passes per game.

Fantasy football often is won or lost at the edges, applying tactic after tactic to gain small-yet-meaningful advantages over your competitors.  We don't count on low-probability Hail Marys.  We rely on 4-yard bursts up the middle in order to maintain ball control, wear down our opponents, and continually put ourselves in position to win.