Top 10 Kick-ass Fantasy Football Draft Tips:
#2 . . .
Let's put a little perspective on fantasy scoring stats. Through my research for the book, I found that in my standard scoring leagues, QBs comprised 8 of the top 10 fantasy scorers in 2010. However, the #1 QB scored 307 points while the #8 QB finished with 236. That 71-point chasm was the second largest gap (RBs produced the largest) between a position’s #1 and #8 scorers.
In 2009 that gap was 72 points. In 2008 it was 78. The difference last year was 66. So while most of the top scorers have been QBs, by separating the elite talent from the next-in-line passers, a draft strategy emerges.
As alluded to above, RBs in recent years have produced even wider gaps between the #1 and #8 players. Thanks to Adrian Peterson, that gap in 2012 was 105 points. However, the gap between the former presumptive #1 RB (Arian Foster, who finished at #2) and the #8 RB was 56--style sizeable, but smaller than the divide between the #1 and #8 QBs.
And so . . .
(1) Identify the top tier positional players where, historically, the largest drop-off occur
(2) Determine the probability of significant positional drop-offs this season.
(3) Target those elite positional players to increase the probability that you accrue the maximum fantasy point advantage.
Stats matter. Comparative stats matter more. It's impossible to guarantee optimal results. But through careful planning, we increase the probability that our decisions will bring us victory.
#2 . . .
Let's put a little perspective on fantasy scoring stats. Through my research for the book, I found that in my standard scoring leagues, QBs comprised 8 of the top 10 fantasy scorers in 2010. However, the #1 QB scored 307 points while the #8 QB finished with 236. That 71-point chasm was the second largest gap (RBs produced the largest) between a position’s #1 and #8 scorers.
In 2009 that gap was 72 points. In 2008 it was 78. The difference last year was 66. So while most of the top scorers have been QBs, by separating the elite talent from the next-in-line passers, a draft strategy emerges.
As alluded to above, RBs in recent years have produced even wider gaps between the #1 and #8 players. Thanks to Adrian Peterson, that gap in 2012 was 105 points. However, the gap between the former presumptive #1 RB (Arian Foster, who finished at #2) and the #8 RB was 56--style sizeable, but smaller than the divide between the #1 and #8 QBs.
And so . . .
(1) Identify the top tier positional players where, historically, the largest drop-off occur
(2) Determine the probability of significant positional drop-offs this season.
(3) Target those elite positional players to increase the probability that you accrue the maximum fantasy point advantage.
Stats matter. Comparative stats matter more. It's impossible to guarantee optimal results. But through careful planning, we increase the probability that our decisions will bring us victory.