Top 10 Unconventional Fantasy Predictions:
#10 . . .
This season's presumptive top 3 fantasy QBs--according to numerous "experts"--will be Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, and Tom Brady. I'm here to tell you that this won't come to fruition. At least 2 of these guys will finish outside the top 5.
Outside of Rodgers' incredible 2011 season, he's averaged under 4,172 yards and 31 TDs per year. Last year 7 guys threw for more yards, while 31 TDs would have been good for 5th among QBs. Is he great? Yes. Will he be a top 3 fantasy QB? I doubt it, as he's lost his #1 offensive weapon (Greg Jennings), while Matt Ryan, Tony Romo, and just as capable of reaching the top 3.
The previous two seasons of Drew Brees' Hall-of-Fame career have proven to be his best. But declining Marquis Colston is a year older and a year slower. Lance Moore is unproven as the #2 WR. Yes, Jimmy Graham should dominate, while Darren Sproles should continue to pick up yards and TDs after the catch. But Brees is no lock for a repeat performance. A return to pre-2011 levels is a decent bet.
Brady's a sleeper as a #7 or #8 fantasy QB. But #3? Without Welker and Hernandez? With Gronkowski's health in question? With Amendola's health always a question? Brady could remain an elite fantasy producer. But don't draft him in the 1st or 2nd round.
Draft these guys early at your own peril. You heard it here first.
#10 . . .
This season's presumptive top 3 fantasy QBs--according to numerous "experts"--will be Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, and Tom Brady. I'm here to tell you that this won't come to fruition. At least 2 of these guys will finish outside the top 5.
Outside of Rodgers' incredible 2011 season, he's averaged under 4,172 yards and 31 TDs per year. Last year 7 guys threw for more yards, while 31 TDs would have been good for 5th among QBs. Is he great? Yes. Will he be a top 3 fantasy QB? I doubt it, as he's lost his #1 offensive weapon (Greg Jennings), while Matt Ryan, Tony Romo, and just as capable of reaching the top 3.
The previous two seasons of Drew Brees' Hall-of-Fame career have proven to be his best. But declining Marquis Colston is a year older and a year slower. Lance Moore is unproven as the #2 WR. Yes, Jimmy Graham should dominate, while Darren Sproles should continue to pick up yards and TDs after the catch. But Brees is no lock for a repeat performance. A return to pre-2011 levels is a decent bet.
Brady's a sleeper as a #7 or #8 fantasy QB. But #3? Without Welker and Hernandez? With Gronkowski's health in question? With Amendola's health always a question? Brady could remain an elite fantasy producer. But don't draft him in the 1st or 2nd round.
Draft these guys early at your own peril. You heard it here first.