Top 10 Unconventional Fantasy Predictions:
#1 . . .
Michael Vick will not be among the top 15 QB fantasy scorers this season. In recent weeks, the Vick bandwagon has accelerated into a runaway train. He’s a cheap stock that’s become way overvalued. He looks good as a fantasy backup. But as a top 15 QB—or inside the top 10, as some esteemed online “experts” are now predicting? C’mon.
This is an example of how a few successful preseason drives can screw up millions of fantasy teams. Who cares how he’s done in August? I’d rather examine his recent portfolio. Sure, he’s managing a new offense that supposedly will cater to his strengths. He’ll run more. He’ll pass more. He’ll do it all “more.” Easier said than done.
Vick is 33—an age when QB mobility is not what it used to be. His offensive line is adequate, but not a game-changer. His receiver corps includes an unproven Riley Cooper, an uninspiring Jason Avant, and an unpredictable Brent Celek. The unit is led by DeSean Jackson, whose yardage and TD totals have declined each since 2009.
I know, I know: the offensive scheme this year is different. It’s like comparing apples to oranges, or helmets to field goal posts.
In his last 23 starts, Vick has committed 33 turnovers (http://www.nfl.com/player/michaelvick/2504531/profile). That might be fine if he’d netted more than 32 TDs. Make that “much more.”
A perennial injury risk with no more than 30 TDs in any season (7 years ago), Vick will finish this season with under 3,000 passing yards, under 450 rushing yards, less than 25 total TDs, and a whole bunch of turnovers. Draft him in the last round if Ryan Tannehill isn’t available.
#1 . . .
Michael Vick will not be among the top 15 QB fantasy scorers this season. In recent weeks, the Vick bandwagon has accelerated into a runaway train. He’s a cheap stock that’s become way overvalued. He looks good as a fantasy backup. But as a top 15 QB—or inside the top 10, as some esteemed online “experts” are now predicting? C’mon.
This is an example of how a few successful preseason drives can screw up millions of fantasy teams. Who cares how he’s done in August? I’d rather examine his recent portfolio. Sure, he’s managing a new offense that supposedly will cater to his strengths. He’ll run more. He’ll pass more. He’ll do it all “more.” Easier said than done.
Vick is 33—an age when QB mobility is not what it used to be. His offensive line is adequate, but not a game-changer. His receiver corps includes an unproven Riley Cooper, an uninspiring Jason Avant, and an unpredictable Brent Celek. The unit is led by DeSean Jackson, whose yardage and TD totals have declined each since 2009.
I know, I know: the offensive scheme this year is different. It’s like comparing apples to oranges, or helmets to field goal posts.
In his last 23 starts, Vick has committed 33 turnovers (http://www.nfl.com/player/michaelvick/2504531/profile). That might be fine if he’d netted more than 32 TDs. Make that “much more.”
A perennial injury risk with no more than 30 TDs in any season (7 years ago), Vick will finish this season with under 3,000 passing yards, under 450 rushing yards, less than 25 total TDs, and a whole bunch of turnovers. Draft him in the last round if Ryan Tannehill isn’t available.