Top 10 Kick-ass Fantasy Football Draft Tips:
#9 . . .
Drafting kickers (as we'll learn more in the coming days) is not a flip of the coin. Some possess a high probability for averaging 9-10 fantasy points per game--better than the second-tier RBs and WRs you clamor for in rounds 3-6.
But aside from pure ability, what separates some kickers' fantasy value from others?
For an online blog called the Harvard College Sports Analysis Collective (http://on.fb.me/13mzjIP), Jonathan Adler recorded all of the nearly 10,000 NFL field goal attempts between 1998 and 2008, separating them into five distance categories. Within 20 yards, indoor field goal attempts demonstrated no statistical advantage over outdoor attempts, while 50+ yard kicks indicated only a weak association between kicking indoors and field goal success.
However, “from distances of greater than 20 yards, being indoors is strongly associated with higher FG success" (http://bit.ly/13z4cF8). And the longer the kick (up to 49 yards), the greater the significance of this association.
Therefore, during your upcoming draft, if you're choosing among two equally skilled field goal kickers, select the one who will play more games indoors. Over a full season, this decision will give you a higher probability for greater fantasy success.
Fantasy titles are not won with one decision. Hundreds of evaluations and hundreds of resulting actions--however small they may appear--comprise the recipe for victory.
#9 . . .
Drafting kickers (as we'll learn more in the coming days) is not a flip of the coin. Some possess a high probability for averaging 9-10 fantasy points per game--better than the second-tier RBs and WRs you clamor for in rounds 3-6.
But aside from pure ability, what separates some kickers' fantasy value from others?
For an online blog called the Harvard College Sports Analysis Collective (http://on.fb.me/13mzjIP), Jonathan Adler recorded all of the nearly 10,000 NFL field goal attempts between 1998 and 2008, separating them into five distance categories. Within 20 yards, indoor field goal attempts demonstrated no statistical advantage over outdoor attempts, while 50+ yard kicks indicated only a weak association between kicking indoors and field goal success.
However, “from distances of greater than 20 yards, being indoors is strongly associated with higher FG success" (http://bit.ly/13z4cF8). And the longer the kick (up to 49 yards), the greater the significance of this association.
Therefore, during your upcoming draft, if you're choosing among two equally skilled field goal kickers, select the one who will play more games indoors. Over a full season, this decision will give you a higher probability for greater fantasy success.
Fantasy titles are not won with one decision. Hundreds of evaluations and hundreds of resulting actions--however small they may appear--comprise the recipe for victory.