I made 17 contrarian prediction in the summer of 2017 The results:
I erred big-time in my bullishness toward Coby Fleener, Kelvin Benjamin, Austin Hooper, and Eli Manning. I was also way off in predicting down years for Carlos Hyde and Leonard Fournette. That comes to six huge misses -- or 35% of my highly contrarian preseason calls.
I was somewhat right on 12% of the calls: Derrick Henry and Shane Vereen. Each fared better than his average draft position, and better than predicted by most of the 100+ experts compiled by Fantasy Pros.
The remaining calls -- 53% of my preseason predictions -- proved to be accurate. What does that mean? I made 17 preseason predictions that either zero or a few percent of national experts agreed with. As with every season, I want to take big leaps and offer uniquely useful draft advice . . . the kind of advice most aren't offering.
Blake Bortles, Tarik Cohen, Marqise Lee, Ryan Succop, and Titans DST, were all vastly undervalued this summer. If you followed by lead, you found value at five fantasy positions. Similarly, I warned against overdrafting the way-too-popular DeMarco Murray, LeGarrette Blount, Marshawn Lynch, and Ty Montgomery. Many people drafted one or more of these RBs, expecting RB1 value for Murray and Lynch and RB2 value for Blount and Montgomery. Or at least, that's what the experts were saying.